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Free £200/€200 Bet on 2009 Grand National with Bet365! |
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Betting Preview:
2009 Grand National |
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KO:
4th April 16:15 |
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The Grand National picture is finally
starting to take shape and it is not
surprising to see a Paul Nicholls runner
heading the betting in the shape of 7/1
shot, My Will.
After the stunning Cheltenham Festival
that Nicholls had, it was with eager
anticipation to see who he would run in
the Aintree showpiece.
My Will has been all the rage in the
betting since Ruby Walsh plumped for him
after he ran extremely well in the
Cheltenham Gold Cup over 3 and a half
miles to finish fifth.
He has never run over National fences
though and although he is nine years old
which one of the peak ages for a
National contender he is carrying 11st
4lbs, and only Hedgehunter has carried
more than 10st 12lbs to victory in the
last 20 years.
While it has been well documented that
My Will is in fact 8lbs well-in and he
certainly has the class to take a race
like this, but the Grand National is no
normal race and odds of 7/1 look too
short as the stats stack up against
Nicholls' leading contender.
So how can we solve this riddle?
Nicholls' other runners are Eurotrek who
is to be ridden by Sam Thomas, who can
be backed at odds of 100/1 and has
little appeal due to weight and
persistent injury problems.
Cornish Sett is 33/1 in the betting
and actually fit all the trends that we
should be looking out for. He ran an
excellent race in defeat in the Welsh
National and a wind-operation which he
had last summer looks to have
revitalised him and if he stays he has a
great chance.
The main draw back is he has in
inexperience jockey on board in Nick
Scholfield and his possible stamina
limitations. Nicholls would not put
someone on board though who he felt
couldn't do the job and Cornish Sett
could run a big race at over four times
the price of My Will.
His other hope is Big Fella Thanks
who is 22/1 in the betting and has
the assistance of Christian Williams. He
looks to have stamina in abundance
judging by the races he's been aimed at
the manner of his runs so far.
However at only 7 years old, he may be a
year to early to throw down a big
challenge and his inexperience could
tell in his jumping.
So if there are doubts about all
Nicholls' runners for one reason or
another then where else should we be
looking to find the winner?
Whatever Tony McCoy is riding is sure to
be popular and although he is yet to win
a National, he has been desperately
unlucky on numerous occasions.
It looks like he will take the ride on
Butlers Cabin who can be backed at
odds of 10/1. He ran very well in
this race last year until coming a
cropper at Bechers Brook the second time
around, and his encouraging run at
Cheltenham could put him right for this
and will no doubt make a bold attempt to
give McCoy his first National winner.
Rambling Minster who is also 10/1 in the
betting has been the subject of a steady
gamble since the start of the week and
he could not be in better form.
He won the Blue Square Gold Cup at
Haydock in testing conditions and has
also won the Borders National over 4m so
should stay well and has a nice weight,
but possibly at 11 may be a little old
to go all the way. In this kind of mood
though you wouldn't bet against him
going close.
Should McCoy surprise everyone and pick
to ride 22/1 shot L'Ami then Enda
Bolger's hope will no doubt come in for
sustained support. Bolger seems to have
revitalised L'Ami this season and juding
on his run in the Cross Country race at
Cheltenham he could put in a big run.
Hear The Echo at 14/1 will no doubt come
in for huge support from Ireland, having
taken the Irish National last year which
is a decent trial for the Grand
National.
He will definitely stay and should jump
fine but is carrying 11st 5lbs which
could anchor him back.
Others prominent in the betting include
Black Apalachi at 16/1 who fell at the
second last year but looks to have a
decent chance of putting in a better
show this time.
State Of Play who sidestepped the
Cheltenham Festival to come here as he
goes a lot better fresh. He has won the
Charlie Hall Chase and the Hennessy Gold
Cup before so has the class but stamina
has to be taken on trust and he can be
backed at odds of 14/1.
Parsons Legacy has been the
subject of massive sustained support
recently. He has been backed at all
kinds of prices in to 16/1 and trainer
Philip Hobbs has pleased backers by
stating he can see the logic behind the
gamble in that the ground has come right
for him, he has a nice weight and is in
good heart.
He won at Cheltenham on his reappearance
this season before unseating on his last
run but he goes well fresh and has been
kept back for this which would explain
where the deluge of money has come from.
Let's not forget about last year's
winner Comply Or Die who jumped
so magnificently last time to take the
race in impressive fashion.
Last year he went off favourite and this
year is available at 20/1 in the betting
as he bids to become the first horse
since Red Rum to retain the Grand
National crown.
He has been punished by the handicapper
for the style of his victory last year
and while he may still be too high in
the weights, if on song, you would not
discount a huge run.
If you fancy getting a little emotional
and watching the closing stages of
Comply Or Die's fantastic victory last
year then click here
The picture should become clearer once
we know who is riding who for sure, but
this looks to be one of the most open,
exciting Grand National's for years
which can only add to the excitement of
this truly special race. |
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Verdict: |
Back Cornish Sett @ 33/1 with |
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Back Big Fella Thanks @ 25/1 with |
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Back Parsons Legacy @ 16/1 with |
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Back Comply or Die @ 20/1 with |
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Grand
National 5 Places!
Paddy Power Sat 4.15pm
Paddy Power will go 5 places in this years Grand National. Most bookies only pay
for 4 places, but if your horse finishes 5th Paddy will still pay out! AND
they'll give you a free £20 bet to spend!
Click here for further info! |
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Available Free Bets on
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2009 Grand National
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